The Australian | 10 July 2013
There is a direct correlation between ATAR and risk of dropping out, with analysis by Andrew Norton at the Grattan Institute showing that school leavers who enter university with an ATAR of 90 or above have a 90 per cent chance of completing their degree, with completion rates fall in a corresponding line with lower ATARs.
It shows that on average, students with ATARs below 60 drop out at a rate of one in three. But, controversially, the data reveals significant numbers with ATARs below 50 dropping out at the rate of 50 per cent.
The data reveals that there is a much higher rate of dropping out among people with lower ATARs but we have to be careful because two in three don’t drop out. There is a risk these completers could be overlooked if we relied purely on ATAR to accept students into courses.