TAFE in Victoria | 29 October 2012
In this illuminating slide show, sourced through the TAFE in Victoria news site, the Australian Education Union suggests that the skills crisis/deficit in the Victorian workforce was massively overstated to justify skills reform – a classic case of “policy-based evidence”. It’s a pretty unarguable proposition actually – and was pointed out to officials at the time (as was the fact that the school leaving age had been increased from 16 years to 17 years old). In making the case for skills reform, in April 2008, the then Victorian government asserted:
Currently, there are more than 1.4 million adult Victorians who do not hold any post school qualification and – if training continues at its current rate – we will face a shortfall of 123,000 people at the advanced diploma and diploma levels by 2015.
But of those 1.4 million “adult Victorians” about half didn’t hold a qualification because they were still at school, in TAFE or at university and another nearly quarter of a million were 55-64 years old and so at or approaching the conventional retiring age and quite probably not all that interested in undertaking training.